When on January 10, the outgoing president Joe Biden applied Subsequent sanctionsthis time, among others, for the Russian “Shadow Fleet”, in Russia they did not take this threat too seriously. It was believed that trusted recipients would remain faithful to the Russian supplier. Something, however It did not play as it should.
Something fell apart in Russia. There is a shortage of money
ABOUT alarming datathat began to flow from the Russian oil market she wrote “New Izwesty”, calculating as far as Three defeatswhich in recent days fell on Russia. The first turned out to be dramatic decrease in oil supply from the port of Ust-Bąt in the Finnish bay, which in January amounted to as much as 40 percent.
“In December, vertically integrated nafektowe companies exported 2.4 million tons of crude oil, i.e. by 600,000. tons less than on average annually. However, January turned out to be much worse. According to the results of the month, only 1.5 million tons will be loaded on tankers, “says the newspaper.
But it was just the beginning. The owners also began to express anxiety “Shadow Fleet” tankerswhich an increasing number are waiting for unloading in the vicinity of Chinese and Indian ports. These countries, fearing American sanctions, suspended their reception and in many cases it became necessary pus reloading to shipswhich were not on the sanction list.
“180 ships found on the sanction list is awaiting unloading in the ports of India and China. The rest increases the freight. According to the same agency transport cost tankers undeveloped by American sanctions increased by several million dollars for a cruise(…). Therefore, the volume of the raw materials sold will be reduced by a third until the sellers solve the problem of tankers covered by sanctions – informs the Russian newspaper.
Russian problem with China and India
Another blow to Russian oil trade may affect the Chinese and Hindus, which in Russia were treated as certain recipients of black gold, replacing the “rebellious” West. Until now, however, neither Chinese nor Indian recipients have received the Russian delivery plan for March 2025.
“From March 2025 Trade with India and China can be completely suspendedwrites a telegram channel Oil and Capital (…). In order not to stay without raw materials for their refineries, the owners will be forced to order goods from other countries, for example Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and even America, “reports New Izw
Asked by the newspaper Russian experts are afraid that In February, the situation may get worseand seeing that the trail of Joe Biden’s decision is also followed by Donald Trump, there is a fear in Russian considerations whether he will not start sometimes trade war. For now, this has not happened yet, but the suggestions of the American president, who in an interview with the Sedian Arabia authorities was in favor of lowering oil prices, give Russians are reasons for concern. For now, however, they are sure of their own and comfort themselves with the fact that without Russia the world economy will get short of breath.
– I do not have a clear answer to the question yet whether Trump is really ready to start a trade war, basically not only with Russia, but with Russia and its trading partners. These barrels of oil are still needed. They cannot currently find an alternative to Russian oil and oil products on the world market. It does not exist in such a volume. Only if you can reach an agreement on the strengthening of OPEC+ New price war. But this is not yet seen on the horizon – said in an interview with Ni Stanislav Mitrachowicz, an expert of the National Energy Safety Foundation and the Finance University in Russia.